Schedule of Potential Main Modifications

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Annexe 1 – MM114 Appendix 1 – Local Development Plan Housing Trajectory

 
 

 

 

 

Plan Period

 

New Homes

HELAA Ref.

Policy Ref

Year 1
2016/17

Year 2
2017/18

Year 3
2018/19

Year 4
2019/20

Year 5
2020/21

Year 6
2021/22

Year 7
2022/23

Year 8
2023/24

Year 9
2024/25

Year 10
2025/26

Year 11
2026/27

Year 12
2027/28

Year 13
2028/29

Year 14
2029/30

Year 15
2030/31

Year 16
2031/32

Year 17
2032/33

Completions (2016/17 - 2020/21)

977

 

 

150

213

246

200

168

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                     

Extant permissions (as at 1st April 2021) and minus non-implementation discount (10% of permission supply)

1036

       

 

 


 

155

261

230

210

180

             

 

 

                                     

Windfall

434

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

62

62

62

62

62

62

62

 

 

                                     

Local Plan Allocations

Brownfield Land within Brentwood Urban Area / Settlement Boundary

Ford Headquarters and Council Depot, Warley - northern and southern site

133

081 / 117A / 117B

R04

           

25

50

58

               

Brentwood Railway Station Car Park

200

002

R10

                         

100

100

   

Westbury Road Car Park, Westbury Road, Brentwood

45

039

R11

         

 

 

45

 

               

Land at Hunter House, Western Road, Brentwood

48

041

R12

                 

24

24

           

Chatham Way / Crown Street Car Park Brentwood

31

040

R13

                   

31

           

William Hunter Way

300

102

R14

             

 

 

 

300

           

Wates Way Industrial Estate, Ongar Road, Brentwood

46

003

R15

           

23

23

                 

Brownfield Land within Brentwood Urban Area / Settlement Boundary Total

803

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

48

118

58

24

355


 

 

100

100

 

 

Greenfield Land within Brentwood Urban Area / Settlement Boundary

Land at Priests Lane, Brentwood

75

044 / 178

R19

           

30

45

                 

Greenfield Land within Brentwood Urban Area / Settlement Boundary Total

75

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brownfield Land within settlement boundary – Other Locations

West Horndon Industrial Estates

580

020 / 021 /152

R02

           

 

 

 

 

80

75

95

100

100

65

65

Brownfield Land within settlement boundary – Other Locations

580

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80

75

95

100

100

65

65

Green Belt Land – Edge of Brentwood Urban Area

Land north of Shenfield

825

034 / 158 / 235 / 087 / 263 / 276

R03

         

 

 

50

100

125

125

125

125

100

75


 

 

Land East of Nags Head Lane, Brentwood

125

032

R06

           

25

25

50

25

             

Sow and Grow Nursery, Ongar Road, Pilgrims Hatch

38

010

R07

           

38

                   

Land Adjacent to Carmel, Mascalls Lane, Warley

9

027

R08

         

 

9

                   

Land west of Warley Hill, Pastoral Way, Warley

43

083

R09

           

20

23

                 

Land off Doddinghurst Road, either side of A12

200

023A / 23B

R16

           

50

50

50

50

             

Green Belt Land – Edge of Brentwood Urban Area Total

1,240

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

142

148

200

200

125

125

125

100

75

 

 

Green Belt Land – Edge of Ingatestone

Land south of Ingatestone, Ingatestone

161

128 / 106

R21

         


 

50

60

51

               

Land Adjacent to Ingatestone By-pass

57

079A

R22

           

17

40

                 

Green Belt Land – Edge of Ingatestone Total

218

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

67

100

51

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Green Belt Land – Larger Villages

Brizes Corner Field, Blackmore Road, Kelvedon Hatch

23

194

R23

           

12

11

                 

Land off Stocks Lane, Kelvedon Hatch

40

075B

R24

           

20

20

                 

Land north of Woollard Way, Blackmore

40

077

R25

           

20

20

                 

Land south of Redrose Lane, north of Orchard Piece, Blackmore

30

076

R26

           

10

20

                 

Green Belt Land – Larger Villages Total

133

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

62

71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Strategic Allocation – Dunton Hills Garden Village

Dunton Hills Garden Village

1,650

200

R01

                   

150

250

250

250

250

250

250

Strategic Allocation – Dunton Hills Garden Village Total

1,650

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

150

250

250

250

250

250

250

Allocation Total

4,699

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

349

482

309

224

710

450

470

550

525

315

315

 

 

                                     

Total Housing Provision

7,146

 

 

150

213

246

200

168

155

610

712

519

404

772

512

532

612

587

377

377

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Housing requirement by year

7,752

 

 

300

300

300

300

300

300

300

300

400

400

400

400

400

400

984

984

984

Performance against requirement within individual year

 

 

 

-150

-87

-54

-100

-132

-145

310

412

119

4

372

112

132

212

-397

-607

-607

Housing provision cumulative total

 

 

 

150

363

609

809

977

1,132

1,742

2,454

2,973

3,377

4,149

4,661

5,193

5,805

6,392

6,769

7,146

Housing requirement cumulative total

 

 

 

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2,100

2,400

2,800

3,200

3,600

4,000

4,400

4,800

5,784

6,768

7,752

Cumulative total deficit/suplus

 

 

 

-150

-237

-291

-391

-523

-668

-358

54

173

177

549

661

793

1005

608

1

-606

 

5 year supply calculations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Five year supply calculation at adoption (2021/22)

Includes 20% buffer from Housing Delivery Test and accounts for deficit (446) from start of plan period to year before adoption (2016/17 to 2020/21) which has been annualised over the remainder of the plan period (12 years) (2021/22 to 2032/33) (Liverpool approach)

 

 

 

 

 

Total supply 2021/22 to 2025/26

2,400

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Local Plan annual housing requirement (2021/22 to 2025/26)

1,700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deficit (2016/17 to 2020/21) ÷ 12 years x 5 years

-218

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Housing Delivery Test 20% buffer (Local Plan annual requirement + deficit)

384

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total five year requirement (with undersupply + 20% buffer)

2,302

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual five year requirement (Total requirement ÷ 5 years (rounded)

460

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Five year supply (years) = Total supply ÷ Annual five year requirement

5.21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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